@article{TheDevelopmentandEvaluationofaTropicalCycloneProbabilisticLandfallForecastProduct,author={Trabing, Benjamin C. and Musgrave, Kate D. and DeMaria, Mark and Zachry, Brian C. and Brennan, Michael J. and Rappaport, Edward N.},title={The Development and Evaluation of a Tropical Cyclone Probabilistic Landfall Forecast Product},journal={Weather and Forecasting},year={2023},publisher={American Meteorological Society},address={Boston MA, USA},volume={38},number={8},doi={10.1175/WAF-D-22-0199.1},pages={1363 - 1374},}
2022
A Simple Bias and Uncertainty Scheme for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change Forecasts
Benjamin C. Trabing, K. D. Musgrave, M. DeMaria, and 1 more author
@article{ASimpleBiasandUncertaintySchemeforTropicalCycloneIntensityChangeForecasts,author={Trabing, Benjamin C. and Musgrave, K. D. and DeMaria, M. and Blake, E.},title={A Simple Bias and Uncertainty Scheme for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change Forecasts},journal={Weather and Forecasting},year={2022},publisher={American Meteorological Society},address={Boston MA, USA},volume={37},number={11},doi={10.1175/WAF-D-22-0074.1},pages={1957 - 1972},}
2021
The Sensitivity of Eyewall Replacement Cycles to Shortwave Radiation
B. C. Trabing, and M. M. Bell
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 2021
Abstract The sensitivity of tropical cyclone secondary eyewall formation (SEF) and subsequent eyewall replacement cycles (ERCs) to shortwave radiation is examined in this study by varying the solar constant and diurnal cycle at different times prior to an ERC using idealized simulations from the Weather Research and Forecasting model. The magnitude of shortwave radiation plays an important role in modifying the timing of the SEF with nonlinear interactions amplifying the SEF formation differences at longer lead-times. Shortwave radiation has a delaying effect on the SEF and ERC primarily through its modifications of the distribution of convective and stratiform heating profiles in the rainbands. Shortwave radiation reduces both the area and diabatic heating of convection in the model domain, while increasing the amount of stratiform precipitation that has weaker low-level cooling and upper-level heating rates. The primary mechanism by which shortwave radiation reduces the diabatic heating profile and frequency of convection in the rainbands is through heating of the mid-upper troposphere which stabilizes the region and reduces convective available potential energy.
@article{https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD034016,author={Trabing, B. C. and Bell, M. M.},title={The Sensitivity of Eyewall Replacement Cycles to Shortwave Radiation},journal={Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},volume={126},number={8},pages={e2020JD034016},keywords={Eyewall replacement cycle, shortwave radiation, tropical cyclones},doi={10.1029/2020JD034016},eprint={https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2020JD034016},note={e2020JD034016 2020JD034016},year={2021},}
Observations of Diurnal Variability under the Cirrus Canopy of Typhoon Kong-rey (2018)
@article{ObservationsofDiurnalVariabilityundertheCirrusCanopyofTyphoonKongrey2018,author={Trabing, Benjamin C. and Bell, Michael M.},title={Observations of Diurnal Variability under the Cirrus Canopy of Typhoon Kong-rey (2018)},journal={Monthly Weather Review},year={2021},publisher={American Meteorological Society},address={Boston MA, USA},volume={149},number={9},doi={10.1175/MWR-D-20-0327.1},pages={2945 - 2964},}
Large-Scale State and Evolution of the Atmosphere and Ocean during PISTON 2018
Adam H. Sobel, Janet Sprintall, Eric D. Maloney, and 5 more authors
@article{LargeScaleStateandEvolutionoftheAtmosphereandOceanduringPISTON2018,author={Sobel, Adam H. and Sprintall, Janet and Maloney, Eric D. and Martin, Zane K. and Wang, Shuguang and de Szoeke, Simon P. and Trabing, Benjamin C. and Rutledge, Steven A.},title={Large-Scale State and Evolution of the Atmosphere and Ocean during PISTON 2018},journal={Journal of Climate},year={2021},publisher={American Meteorological Society},address={Boston MA, USA},volume={34},number={12},doi={10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0517.1},pages={5017 - 5035},}
2020
Understanding Error Distributions of Hurricane Intensity Forecasts during Rapid Intensity Changes
@article{UnderstandingErrorDistributionsofHurricaneIntensityForecastsduringRapidIntensityChanges,author={Trabing, Benjamin C. and Bell, Michael M.},title={Understanding Error Distributions of Hurricane Intensity Forecasts during Rapid Intensity Changes},journal={Weather and Forecasting},year={2020},publisher={American Meteorological Society},address={Boston MA, USA},volume={35},number={6},doi={10.1175/WAF-D-19-0253.1},pages={2219 - 2234},}
2019
Impacts of Radiation and Upper-Tropospheric Temperatures on Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity
Benjamin C. Trabing, Michael M. Bell, and Bonnie R. Brown
@article{ImpactsofRadiationandUpperTroposphericTemperaturesonTropicalCycloneStructureandIntensity,author={Trabing, Benjamin C. and Bell, Michael M. and Brown, Bonnie R.},title={Impacts of Radiation and Upper-Tropospheric Temperatures on Tropical Cyclone Structure and Intensity},journal={Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences},year={2019},publisher={American Meteorological Society},address={Boston MA, USA},volume={76},number={1},doi={10.1175/JAS-D-18-0165.1},pages={135 - 153},}
